Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000282 0.000316 0.000352 0.000395 0.000443 0.000495 0.000558
2025-01-05 0.000228 0.000277 0.000336 0.000411 0.000505 0.000619 0.000768
2025-01-12 0.000185 0.000239 0.000308 0.000402 0.000529 0.000695 0.000931
2025-01-19 0.000152 0.000206 0.000278 0.000382 0.000531 0.000738 0.001053
2025-01-26 0.000135 0.000191 0.000269 0.000387 0.000564 0.000824 0.001244
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000185 0.000270 0.000405 0.000618 0.000946 0.001506
2025-02-09 0.000113 0.000171 0.000257 0.000400 0.000635 0.001014 0.001691
2025-02-16 0.000104 0.000161 0.000251 0.000404 0.000665 0.001104 0.001927
2025-02-23 0.000095 0.000151 0.000241 0.000400 0.000681 0.001172 0.002133
2025-03-02 0.000088 0.000144 0.000236 0.000403 0.000708 0.001262 0.002393
2025-03-09 0.000081 0.000136 0.000229 0.000401 0.000728 0.001341 0.002643
2025-03-16 0.000073 0.000124 0.000213 0.000383 0.000712 0.001351 0.002756
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000119 0.000208 0.000385 0.000738 0.001448 0.003074
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000117 0.000211 0.000401 0.000795 0.001618 0.003589
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000109 0.000201 0.000392 0.000800 0.001680 0.003869
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000100 0.000187 0.000373 0.000780 0.001684 0.004011
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000097 0.000185 0.000377 0.000811 0.001807 0.004475
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000096 0.000189 0.000395 0.000875 0.002017 0.005209
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000092 0.000182 0.000391 0.000888 0.002104 0.005628
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000089 0.000180 0.000394 0.000919 0.002244 0.006228
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000085 0.000175 0.000390 0.000932 0.002338 0.006714
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000082 0.000172 0.000393 0.000961 0.002480 0.007377
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000079 0.000168 0.000392 0.000980 0.002599 0.007998